This is a game that I will get to enjoy live at Gillette Stadium. The 11-3 Patriots will host the 5-9 Miami Dolphins. Miami's record can be misleading, especially in this particular situation. The Patriots have had their troubles with the fish over the years. They have struggled against them in games where all odds were against the Dolphins. However, the Patriots did rout the Dolphins in the regular season opener, a game in which Tom Brady threw for 517 yards. With a win, the Pats will be one step closer to having home-field advantage and the AFC's number one seed.

When the Patriots have the ball, expect them to put up some big numbers. I don't think there are many teams that can successfully match up with all the play makers that the Patriots have. We saw this last week in Denver as the Broncos shadowed Gronkowski with double coverage all day, which left plenty of room for Aaron Hernandez to have a career game. But, this doesn't mean the Patriots offense is invincible. Tight outside coverage, a steady pass rush, and sound tackling can rattle any offense's rhythm. The Dolphins certainly have the talent to do just that. Guys like Jason Taylor and Carlos Dansby are potential problems for the Patriots, because they can really disrupt the timing of an offense. I don't think that the Miami defense poses a huge threat, but if the offensive line and Tom Brady aren't playing well, anything can happen.

When the Dolphins have the ball, the key for the Pats defense will be to prevent Reggie Bush from having the type of success he has had in recent games. He is coming off some impressive games with over 100 yards rushing in a few of them, and it seems he has found some consistency. Wide receiver Brandon Marshall will be a tough cover, but I think Belichick will try to minimize his chances of making big plays. This season, anyone has been able to throw on the Patriots, but the key for them will be playing good red zone defense, and executing on third down.

I think this one will be a battle because of the way Miami is playing, and because of the fact that they have caused problems for the Patriots in the past. Regardless, the Patriots offense is just too good to lose to a Dolphins team. The final score might be closer than most people expect.

My prediction is that the Patriots will win by 10 points.